Sean’s Rant

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Archive for the ‘commodities’ tag

The case for crude oil, through a GOLDen looking glass

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Gold has skyrocketed and oil has dropped like a rock in the last few months, in case you were in a closet.

Here’s why I am long oil (USO) and am getting longer on dips:

Great short video presentation on the dollar (2007)

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Although the below film is outdated and does not reflect the recent swing towards the dollar, it rings true and projects where it will go. I don’t see the other currencies being too successful either though, considering they aren’t gold backed either. That is why I strongly support gold silver and oil (GLD, SLV, USO or BP). I own USO and BP. 

Risk Aversion, Complacency, Mutual Funds, and the Status Quo market.

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There is no such thing as risk free. There is “low”, “moderate”and “high” risk. These are just based on our experience of what we have seen to be the case thus far. In this sense, if we continue to maintain the same risk scenarios they become outdated. This is the case RIGHT NOW such as the case of Indy Mac. Also, what seemed to be such a guarantee is now up to question with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Risk aversion is a different ball game now. Risk can never totally be averted, just hypothesized at aversion. We can get close to guessing at risk free but we will never achieve that. There are no guarantees. The sun has risen and set for as long as we know and will know, but it won’t in a few billion years.